Projected Score Calculator

Work out the current run rate by dividing runs by overs faced, then multiply that rate by the overs remaining and add it to the current score. A side on 142 after 30 of 50 overs is scoring at 4.73 and projects to roughly 237.

Because limited-overs innings accelerate. A flat projection carries the current rate forward and so extrapolates the slower middle phase while ignoring the final ten overs, where most sides score fastest. It is better read as a floor than as a forecast.

No. The calculation uses only runs and overs, so a side on 142 for 1 and a side on 142 for 7 project to the same total. Wickets in hand are the single biggest factor the projection cannot see.

A projected score extrapolates the innings in progress. A par score is what a competitive total looks like at that ground in those conditions, based on past matches. In a rain-affected game, par has a third meaning: the Duckworth-Lewis-Stern score that leaves the chasing side level.

As a floor it is reasonable; as a prediction it is not. It assumes the scoring rate holds, which it rarely does in either direction, and it is blind to wickets, to who is batting and to how many overs the best bowlers have left.

Less accurate than in a fifty-over game, because a T20 innings accelerates harder over a shorter span. A projection made at ten overs typically understates the final total by a wide margin, since the last five overs often produce more than the first ten. Treat it as a floor.

A total that would make the match roughly even at that ground in those conditions, drawn from what past matches there have produced. It is different from a projected score, which extrapolates the innings in progress, and different again from a Duckworth-Lewis par score, which is the figure leaving a chasing side exactly level.

Because they project at different assumed rates. Most show a row of totals — at the current rate, at eight an over, at twelve — rather than one number, precisely because a single projection would be wrong almost immediately. The spread is more honest than any one figure in it.

Not in its basic form, which uses only runs and overs. More sophisticated forecasting models do weight wickets, which is the same insight behind the Duckworth-Lewis resource table. A simple projection treats a side one down and a side seven down as identical, and they are not.